What this chart shows
Miners are Bitcoin's only structural sellers: they receive newly issued coins plus fees and must sell some flow to pay for electricity and hardware. The Puell Multiple normalizes today's USD mining revenue against the trailing year. Miner revenue itself is the issuance value plus the fee value for the day (IssTotUSD + FeeTotNtv × PriceUSD) — Coin Metrics' free community tier doesn't publish a combined revenue figure directly, so this page adds the two components itself.
How to read it
Readings under 0.5 mean miner income has collapsed relative to its own recent history — the “miner capitulation” band where weak miners shut down, hash rate falls, and forced selling exhausts itself. These episodes clustered near major bottoms (2012, 2015, 2019, 2020, 2022). Readings above 4 mean revenue is extraordinarily rich, historically coinciding with cycle tops when miners could distribute heavily into demand.
Limitations
The metric's causal engine is weakening by design: every halving cuts issuance, and miner flow is now a small fraction of daily traded volume (ETF flows alone routinely dwarf it). Note also the step discontinuity the multiple shows around each halving — that is mechanics, not sentiment. Treat modern readings as a weaker signal than pre-2020 ones.